Man Utd vs Man City
Key Details
Premier League, Matchweek 4
Old Trafford, Manchester
Sunday 13 September, 16:30 BST
Our Prediction
Man Utd 1-2 Man City
Key Stat
Man City have conceded just two goals in three Premier League games this season
Top Tip
Both teams to score – 1.70

The 199th Manchester derby arrives at Old Trafford on Sunday with both clubs under new management and carrying contrasting early-season form into the first meeting of 2026-27.

Manchester City top the table with a perfect nine points from three games, while Manchester United sit 11th after collecting four points from an opening sequence that has included a 5-2 thrashing of Ipswich, a defeat at Hull and a draw at Everton.

Man Utd vs Man City preview and form guide

Recent Form
Man Utd
L W D W
Man City
L W W W W

Michael Carrick's side have generated attacking numbers that suggest a team far better than their league position, producing 7.45 xG across three Premier League matches while scoring seven goals.

The problem has been at the other end, where United have conceded six times from just 2.94 xG against, a gap that points to individual errors rather than structural fragility.

Bruno Fernandes has carried much of the attacking burden, scoring a hat-trick in the 5-2 win over Ipswich before adding another in Thursday's 4-0 Champions League victory over Sabah FK.

Matheus Cunha and Benjamin Sesko also found the net against Sabah, giving Carrick attacking options that extend well beyond his captain.

The hosts will take confidence from the corresponding fixture last season, when they beat City 2-0 at Old Trafford in January under Carrick's interim charge, and those who betting tips from our team will note that the data supports goals at both ends.

Man Utd vs Man City comparison
2026-27 season
Man Utd
Man City
League Position
11th
1st
Wins
2
4
Draws
1
0
Losses
1
1
Goals Scored
11
9
Goals Conceded
6
5
Clean Sheets
1
2

Enzo Maresca has made a near-flawless start to life as Pep Guardiola's successor, winning four of five official matches including the 2-0 victory at Porto in which Erling Haaland scored both goals.

City's defensive record has been the foundation, conceding just two goals in three league games, a return that stands in sharp contrast to the six shipped by their neighbours in the same period.

Erling Haaland has scored five goals across all competitions already this season, averaging a goal per game in the Premier League through the opening three matches, and punters scanning the top football betting sites will find him prominent in the scorer markets.

The arrivals of Enzo Fernandez and Iliman Ndiaye on deadline day have deepened City's attacking options, while Rayan Cherki has been integrated into the starting lineup.

City played their Champions League opener on Tuesday, giving them two extra days of recovery compared to United, who faced Sabah on Thursday night.

Team news: Man Utd vs Man City

Manchester United

Outs and Doubts
Out
Matthijs de Ligt
Back injury – return late September
Out
Manuel Ugarte
Cruciate ligament tear – return April 2027
Out
Tom Heaton
Abdominal injury – return late September
Out
Carlos Baleba
Ankle injury – return 17 September
Doubt
Marcus Rashford
Knock – expected to start
Doubt
Luke Shaw
Knock – availability uncertain
Doubt
Amad Diallo
Knock

Matthijs de Ligt's back injury and Manuel Ugarte's long-term cruciate ligament problem, sustained during the World Cup, leave Carrick short of two first-choice options.

Carlos Baleba, signed from Brighton for around £70m in August, is expected to miss out with an ankle injury and should return next week.

Marcus Rashford trained on Friday and is expected to start despite carrying a knock, while Carrick confirmed that Luke Shaw needs to be assessed ahead of the game.

Those exploring best UK new betting sites ahead of Sunday should note that Amad Diallo is also a doubt, though Bryan Mbeumo is set to occupy the right wing regardless.

Manchester City

Outs and Doubts
Out
Jeremy Doku
Calf injury – missed all three PL games

Jeremy Doku has missed every Premier League game this season with a calf problem and the latest reports suggest he will sit out the derby as well.

Nico O'Reilly had been a doubt after picking up a back injury in the warm-up before the Coventry game, but Maresca confirmed he is “100% available” for Sunday.

City have no suspended players and a far cleaner bill of health than their neighbours, giving Maresca a full-strength squad bar Doku.

Man Utd vs Man City predicted lineups

Man Utd (4-2-3-1): Lammens; Dalot, Maguire, Martinez, Shaw; Mainoo, Tielemans; Mbeumo, Fernandes, Rashford; Cunha

Predicted XI

Man Utd

4-2-3-1
Cunha
Rashford
Fernandes
Mbeumo
Mainoo
Tielemans
Shaw
Martinez
Maguire
Dalot
Lammens

Man City (4-2-3-1): Donnarumma; Khusanov, Dias, Guehi, Gvardiol; Enzo Fernandez, Anderson; Ndiaye, Cherki, Semenyo; Haaland

Predicted XI

Man City

4-2-3-1
Haaland
Semenyo
Cherki
Ndiaye
E Fernandez
Anderson
Gvardiol
Guehi
Dias
Khusanov
Donnarumma

Head-to-head: Man Utd vs Man City

All-Time Record
Man Utd
81 – 55 – 62
Man City
Man Utd wins – Draws – Man City wins (198 meetings)
Last meeting: Man Utd 2-0 Man City, 17 January 2026, Premier League, Old Trafford
Man Utd 2Last 5 meetingsMan City 1

United hold the historical advantage with 81 wins to City's 62 across 198 meetings, though recent form between the sides has been tight.

The hosts won the most recent encounter 2-0 at this ground in January, but City had inflicted a 3-0 defeat at the Etihad earlier that season.

Two of the last five meetings ended in draws, including the 2024 Community Shield which City won on penalties after a 1-1 draw, while United also won 2-1 away in December 2024.

This will be the first derby for both Maresca and Carrick as permanent managers in their current roles, adding a fresh dimension to a rivalry built across nearly two centuries of football.

Our Man Utd vs Man City prediction and tips

Top Tip
Both teams to score – Yes
1.70
United have conceded in all three league games but scored in three of four official matches this season. City have been breached in two of three Premier League fixtures despite their solid defensive numbers, and derbies at Old Trafford consistently produce action at both ends.
Value Bet
Man City to win
2.05
City's nine points from nine represent the division's only perfect start, and the underlying numbers back the surface form. Maresca's side have conceded two goals in three league matches, while United's six conceded from under three xG against points to fragility that City's attack can exploit.
Longshot
Over 3.5 goals
2.74
United's league matches have averaged 4.3 total goals per game this season, with all three producing at least two goals apiece. Combined with City's attacking quality and the derby's capacity to produce open, end-to-end passages, four or more goals is a plausible outcome.
Free Choice
Over 2.5 goals
1.75
Both sides have scored seven league goals in three games, placing them joint-third in the division for goals per match. United's defensive vulnerability and City's relentless forward threat make three or more goals the likeliest profile for this game.

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Score Prediction
Man Utd 1-2 Man City
City's superior defensive discipline and squad depth point to a controlled away win, with Haaland's finishing ability likely to be the decisive factor in a game where United will create chances but struggle to keep the visitors out.
United's attacking output under Carrick gives them a strong chance of scoring, but the gap in defensive solidity between the two sides means the hosts are unlikely to keep pace over 90 minutes.
  • Haaland has scored five goals in five games across all competitions this season, including both in the 2-0 win at Porto
  • United have conceded in every Premier League game this season, shipping six from just 2.94 xG against
  • City played their Champions League game on Tuesday, giving them two extra days of recovery compared to United's Thursday fixture
  • Fernandes has scored four goals in four appearances this season, making him the most likely source of a United reply