Spain vs England
Key Details
UEFA Nations League, League A Group 3
Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid
Sunday 15 November, 7:45pm GMT (8:45pm in Madrid)
Our Prediction
Spain 3-2 England
Key Stat
Both teams have scored at least twice in every one of their five group games
Top Tip
Both teams to score (Yes)

England travel to Madrid for Sunday's Nations League group decider knowing that only a win over the world champions will take them to the top of Group 3, with kick-off at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano at 7:45pm GMT (8:45pm local time).

Spain finish first with a win or a draw, while Harry Kane arrives as the Ballon d'Or holder and England's record goalscorer, having broken the national appearance record against Croatia on Thursday.

Spain vs England preview and form guide

Recent Form
Spain
W
W
W
W
W
England
L
W
W
W
W

England have won four in a row since losing 3-2 at Wembley to Spain in September, scoring 14 goals and conceding one across victories over Czechia and Croatia, home and away.

Morgan Rogers opened the scoring against Croatia on Thursday, Petar Sucic levelled after a poor Jarell Quansah header, and Kane then converted the penalty that Quansah won to complete a 2-1 victory.

Kane won a record 126th cap in that game and scored in a fifth successive England match, taking his tally to 92 goals for his country.

The England captain collected the Ballon d'Or on 26 October, becoming the first Englishman to win it since Michael Owen in 2001, and he leads the whole competition with seven goals in five games.

Finishing first matters beyond pride, because group winners are seeded for the March quarter-final draw and play the second leg at home, while runners-up play the first leg at home and cannot be drawn against their own group winner.

England vs Spain comparison
Last 5 games
Spain
England
FIFA Ranking
1
4
Wins
5
4
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
1
Goals Scored
14
16
Goals Conceded
5
4
Clean Sheets
1
3

Spain have won all five group games, scoring 14 goals along the way, and their unbeaten run now stands at 43 matches of all kinds since March 2024.

A rotated side without Lamine Yamal and Mikel Oyarzabal still won 2-0 in Prague on Thursday, through an Alex Baena penalty after a VAR check for handball and a stoppage-time goal from Marc Pubill.

Czechia captain Ladislav Krejci was sent off in the 72nd minute, and Spain's expected goals total finished at 3.58 to Czechia's 1.14.

Yamal missed that game with right-knee discomfort, the first match he had sat out for club or country this season, and Luis de la Fuente has since confirmed that he is available and joining the camp on Friday.

Spain's only clean sheet in five group games came in Prague and they have conceded in each of the other four, so those wanting to back an open game with a fresh account can browse the best new sports betting sites before Sunday.

Team news and predicted lineups for Spain vs England

Spain team news

Spain – Outs and doubts
No confirmed outs or doubts
No injuries or suspensions reported ahead of Sunday

De la Fuente has said that Yamal is available and that Oyarzabal is doing better, with both joining the camp on Friday after sitting out the win in Prague.

No suspensions have been reported for either team, which points to a return to the shape that started in Prague, with Yamal and Oyarzabal replacing Fermin Lopez and Ferran Torres.

Martin Zubimendi and Fabian Ruiz started in midfield in Prague, with Mikel Merino, who also played on Thursday, the alternative in that area, and with line-ups still open until Sunday, readers choosing where to bet can look through our top 10 football betting sites.

Spain predicted lineup vs England

Spain predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Simon; Porro, Huijsen, Cubarsi, Cucurella; Zubimendi, Ruiz; Yamal, Baena, Pino; Oyarzabal.

Predicted XI
Spain
4-2-3-1
Simon
Porro
Huijsen
Cubarsi
Cucurella
Zubimendi
Ruiz
Yamal
Baena
Pino
Oyarzabal

England team news

England – Outs and doubts
OUT
Marc Guehi
Withdrew from the squad injured on 9 November
DOUBT
Ezri Konsa
Missed the Croatia game as a precaution; expected back in full training on Saturday
DOUBT
Djed Spence
Not involved against Croatia; match fitness unconfirmed

Marc Guehi withdrew from the squad injured on 9 November, and Newcastle United defender Dan Burn was called up in his place, while Bournemouth's James Hill received a first senior call-up the following day.

Ezri Konsa missed the Croatia game as a precaution and has been working on an individual programme, with Thomas Tuchel expecting him back in full team training on Saturday.

Declan Rice is available after playing 78 minutes against Croatia, whereas Djed Spence was not involved in that game, so his match fitness for Sunday has yet to be confirmed.

The likeliest side is the one that beat Croatia, with Konsa coming in at centre-back for Quansah if he trains fully, Kane up front, Jude Bellingham behind him and Rogers and Anthony Gordon in support.

England predicted lineup vs Spain

England predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Pickford; Alexander-Arnold, Konsa, Burn, Hall; Anderson, Rice; Rogers, Bellingham, Gordon; Kane.

Predicted XI
England
4-2-3-1
Pickford
Alexander-
Arnold
Konsa
Burn
Hall
Anderson
Rice
Rogers
Bellingham
Gordon
Kane

Head-to-head: Spain vs England

Spain vs England head-to-head
12 – 4 – 13
Spain wins
Draws
England wins
29 meetings in all. Last meeting on 26 September at Wembley in the Nations League, England 2-3 Spain.
Spain 7 wins
Last 10 meetings
England 2 wins

Spain beat England 3-2 at Wembley on 26 September, with Yamal scoring early and Kane missing a penalty.

Spain have now won both meetings since 2024, taking the Euro 2024 final 2-1 on 14 July of that year before the win in September.

The Nations League has produced this pattern before, with Spain winning 2-1 on 8 September 2018 and England taking the return fixture 3-2 on 15 October.

England still hold a narrow all-time edge, with 13 wins to Spain's 12, and anyone adding a bet to Sunday's game can compare betting sign up offers from UK bookmakers.

Our Spain vs England prediction and tips

Each pick below is a single market, and readers who want to see how one leading bookmaker prices football can read our bet365 bookie review.

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Top Tip
Both teams to score (Yes)
Odds 1.58
Spain have conceded in four of their five group games, while England have let in goals in two of theirs, against Croatia and Spain. Each side has also scored at least twice in every group match, so a blank at either end would break a pattern that has held across ten combined games.
Value Bet
Spain to win
Odds 1.67
Spain have won all five group games and are unbeaten in 43 matches of all kinds, with a draw already enough to finish first. England have lost only once in five group games, to Spain, but having to win rather than draw forces them to commit players forward in Madrid.
Longshot
Anthony Gordon to score anytime
Odds 6.00
Nine of England's 16 group goals have come from players other than Kane, while Spain conceded twice to England at Wembley in September. Gordon was in the attack that started against Croatia, which makes him a plausible England scorer at a bigger price than the more obvious Kane.
Free Choice
Alex Baena to have 2+ shots on target
Odds 2.63
Baena averages just under three shots on target per 90 minutes for Spain in the Nations League and scored the penalty that opened the scoring in Prague, while England's three clean sheets in the group all came against Czechia and Croatia. A Spain attack that reached 3.58 expected goals on Thursday should find more room against an England side chasing the win, which makes two efforts on target a realistic return.

Odds correct as of Friday, 13 November 2026, 3:30pm GMT.

Our prediction
Spain 3-2 England
Spain need only a point for first place, and Yamal's four goals in four group games make them dangerous on the counter while England chase the win. England have Kane in a five-match scoring run and beat Croatia 2-1 on Thursday, so goals should come at both ends, but the hosts' ability to win with a rotated side in Prague should decide a tight game.
  • Lamine Yamal to score for Spain on his return from a knee problem
  • Alex Baena to score for Spain, having taken the penalty that opened the scoring in Prague
  • Harry Kane to score for England and extend his run to six successive games
  • Anthony Gordon to get the second England goal