Norway vs Wales
Key Details
UEFA Nations League A, Group 4
Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo
Saturday 14 November, 5pm GMT (6pm local time)
Our Prediction
Norway 2-1 Wales
Key Stat
Norway have both scored and conceded in each of their last 12 matches
Top Tip
Both teams to score: Yes

Wales sit above Norway in Nations League Group A4 only because they won the reverse fixture in Cardiff on 1 October, and a defeat by two goals or more in Oslo on Saturday would send them to the bottom of the table.

Kick-off at Ullevaal Stadion is at 5pm GMT (6pm local time), and the hosts arrive on three successive 2-1 defeats despite having Erling Haaland, Martin Odegaard and the recalled Alexander Sorloth in their squad.

Norway vs Wales preview and form guide

Recent Form
Norway
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Wales
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Norway reached the World Cup quarter-finals for the first time before losing 2-1 to England after extra time on 11 July, and they have won just one of their four group games since, a 3-2 victory over Denmark.

All three defeats finished 2-1, against Portugal at Ullevaal Stadion, Wales in Cardiff and Portugal again in Porto, where Kristoffer Ajer scored.

Haaland has 65 goals in 59 caps and three in this Nations League, but all three arrived in the first two games and he has not scored in the two since.

Odegaard has four assists in four group games, so the problem has been at the back, where Norway have conceded eight goals.

Fourth place means either an A/B play-off or relegation, depending on how Norway compare with the other fourth-placed sides, so this home game against Wales matters more than the table alone suggests.

Denmark, who have six points, play Portugal at 7.45pm GMT on Saturday and then host Norway in Copenhagen on 17 November, so Norway would prefer the table settled before facing a side already on that total.

Norway vs Wales comparison
Last 5 games
Norway
Wales
FIFA Ranking
19
38
Wins
1
1
Draws
0
0
Losses
4
4
Goals Scored
7
3
Goals Conceded
10
7
Clean Sheets
0
0

Wales have lost four of their last five matches, and the one win was against Norway, ending a run of six games without a victory that began after a 7-1 thrashing of North Macedonia in November 2025.

Craig Bellamy's side have scored only twice in four group games, both goals against Norway in Cardiff through Daniel James and Neco Williams.

Away from home Wales lost 1-0 in Portugal and 2-0 in Copenhagen without scoring, and Saturday is their third trip of the group.

Denmark then won 1-0 in Cardiff on 4 October from a Rasmus Hojlund penalty, a match in which Cabango and Thomas picked up the bookings that rule them out here.

Wales host Portugal, who have won all four of their group games, on 17 November, which makes Saturday the clearer chance for them to add to their three points.

Team news: Norway vs Wales

Norway team news

Norway outs and doubts
Out
Fredrik Aursnes
Withdrew from the squad on 8 November
Out
Jorgen Strand Larsen
Has pulled out of the matches against Wales and Denmark

Sorloth is back in the squad after a muscle injury kept him out of the September and October matches.

Aursnes withdrew on 8 November after starting all four group games, and Hugo Vetlesen of Club Brugge has been called in.

Jorgen Strand Larsen of Crystal Palace has also pulled out of the games against Wales and Denmark, with Viking's Erik Botheim called up in his place.

Torbjorn Heggem, sent off 20 seconds into the second half in Cardiff, should be available after missing the Porto game, and Julian Ryerson is the likely right-back with Aursnes out.

Stale Solbakken changed from 4-3-3 to 4-2-3-1 in Porto, where Egil Selvik replaced Orjan Nyland in goal and Oscar Bobb, who scored in Cardiff, was left out of the starting line-up.

Norway predicted lineup vs Wales

Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Selvik; Ryerson, Ajer, Heggem, Wolfe; Berge, Berg; Schjelderup, Odegaard, Nusa; Haaland.

Predicted XI
Norway
4-2-3-1
Selvik
Ryerson
Ajer
Heggem
Wolfe
Berge
Berg
Schjelderup
Odegaard
Nusa
Haaland

Wales team news

Wales outs and doubts
Out
Ben Cabango
Suspended after a second yellow card in the competition
Out
Sorba Thomas
Suspended after a second yellow card in the competition
Out
Kieffer Moore
Withdrawn from the squad, Aaron Collins called up

Cabango and Thomas are suspended after both received a second yellow card of the competition against Denmark on 4 October, which costs Bellamy a defender and a wide player.

Kieffer Moore has been replaced in the squad by Aaron Collins of Milton Keynes Dons.

Joe Rodon is back after a hamstring injury, and Harry Wilson, who has 17 international goals, is available for the first time since March after Bellamy described him as “outstanding”.

Jordan James, who started in midfield against Norway and Denmark, is not in the November squad, so Josh Sheehan is expected to line up alongside Ethan Ampadu.

Bellamy used a 4-2-3-1 in each of Wales' last two matches, and Rodon should take Cabango's place at centre-back.

Wales predicted lineup vs Norway

Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Ward; Williams, Rodon, Davies, Dasilva; Ampadu, Sheehan; Johnson, Cullen, James; Koumas.

Predicted XI
Wales
4-2-3-1
Ward
Williams
Rodon
Davies
Dasilva
Ampadu
Sheehan
Johnson
Cullen
James
Koumas

Head-to-head: Norway vs Wales

Head to Head
4 – 4 – 4
Norway wins
Draws
Wales wins
Last meeting: Wales 2-1 Norway, Nations League, Cardiff City Stadium, 1 October
Norway 0Last five years (1 match)Wales 1

The sides have met 12 times, with four wins each, four draws and Wales ahead 17-15 on goals.

Cardiff was decided early in the second half, when Heggem was sent off for fouling Daniel James with the score at 1-1 after goals from Bobb and James, and Williams scored Wales' winner three minutes later.

Norway have not beaten Wales since a 3-2 World Cup qualifier in September 2001, and the four meetings since have produced a draw and three Welsh wins, including a 4-1 friendly victory in November 2011.

Saturday is the first meeting between the sides in Norway since a 0-0 friendly in May 2004.

Our Norway vs Wales prediction and tips

Norway should edge a tight game because they can field Haaland, Odegaard and Sorloth together, while Wales are without Cabango at the heart of their defence.

Our tips are an assessment and can be wrong, and readers comparing markets can start with our list of the best UK football betting sites, or the best newest UK betting sites if they want recently launched bookmakers.

Our ranking of the top betting sites UK offers a wider comparison, and our BoyleSports betting site review looks at how that bookmaker prices football.

Top Tip
Both teams to score: Yes
Odds 1.83
Norway have both scored and conceded in each of their last 12 matches, while Wales have scored in only two of their last five and kept no clean sheet in any of them. That makes a Welsh goal the real question, but Harry Wilson's return and a Norway defence without Fredrik Aursnes give them a realistic route to one.
Value Bet
Under 3.5 goals
Odds 1.73
None of Wales' last eight matches produced more than three goals, and four of Norway's last five finished with exactly three. Only the 3-2 win over Denmark went past that mark in Norway's five, so Norway's attack has not yet turned Haaland's presence into open games.
Longshot
Correct score: Norway 2-1 Wales
Odds 9.00
Norway's last seven matches have all been decided by a single goal, and so have four of Wales' last eight. In a game that tight, Norway have the sharper options to find the one goal that separates the sides, with Alexander Sorloth back and Wales missing Ben Cabango.
Free Choice
Half-time/full-time: Draw/Norway
Odds 4.00
Both sides were level at half-time in each of their last two matches, Norway at 1-1 against Wales and Portugal, Wales at 1-1 against Norway and 0-0 against Denmark. Norway have twice let that scoreline become a defeat, but a Wales defence without Cabango gives them the better chance of reversing it at home.

Odds correct as of Thursday, 12 November 2026, 10:35 GMT.

Our Prediction
Norway 2-1 Wales
Norway have Haaland, Odegaard and a recalled Sorloth to choose from, while Wales must replace the suspended Cabango and Thomas. Norway have conceded eight goals in four group games, though, which leaves room for Wales to reply and keeps the margin at one goal.
  • Erling Haaland has scored three Nations League goals and faces a Wales defence without Cabango.
  • Kristoffer Ajer scored Norway's goal in Porto and is in our predicted XI.
  • Daniel James scored in Cardiff and is in our predicted XI for Wales.