Leeds United vs Crystal Palace prediction, tips and odds | Premier League

Leeds United welcome Crystal Palace to Elland Road on Sunday for a Premier League round five clash, with Daniel Farke's side unbeaten and Pierre Sage's Eagles looking to build some league momentum after a difficult start under the new manager. Kick-off is at 14:00 BST. Leeds sit sixth on eight points from four games, while Palace are down in seventeenth having collected only three points from their opening four fixtures.

Leeds have not lost in the league so far this season, a run that includes a 4-1 win over Newcastle United last time out. Palace, meanwhile, travel north on the back of a difficult opening month that has featured three league defeats, including a devastating late loss to Ipswich Town last time out.

Leeds vs Crystal Palace: Premier League Form and Preview

“It's not a coincidence. It's quality,” Daniel Farke said this week, pointing to eight points from four matches as the product of a settled system rather than good fortune. “The table is currently not important. Eight points are important. But it's not enough to achieve what we want. The first step is 40 points as quickly as possible.”

Leeds have scored seven goals and conceded three across their opening four Premier League matches, a return that has kept them unbeaten through two wins and two draws. It is the club's best start to a top-flight campaign since 2001-02 under David O'Leary, when Leeds also won two and drew two of their first four. Victory here would match that season's return of 11 points from five games.

Confidence inside Elland Road is high after the 4-1 win over Newcastle United, Leeds' biggest league win of the season so far. This weekend's visitors arrive with a defence still finding its feet under a new manager, and a goalkeeping situation unsettled by Dean Henderson's continued absence.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored three Premier League goals this season, one of them coming in the win over Newcastle. He has also found the net in each of his last five home Premier League appearances, a run matched by only one other Leeds player in the club's history, Mark Viduka, between March and August 2003. His movement and hold-up play against central defenders give Leeds a focal point that Palace's reshuffled back three will need to manage carefully.

A settled system matters here too. Daniel Farke has overseen a 51% win rate across 154 matches since taking charge in 2023, and that stability, more than any single head-to-head trend, is the structural edge Leeds carry into a fixture against a Palace side still only six games into life under a new manager.

Crystal Palace sit seventeenth in the Premier League with three points from four games, a single win against three defeats. It is a difficult opening month for Pierre Sage, whose four league matches in charge have produced a 25% win rate since he replaced Oliver Glasner over the summer.

“We are late in this one because I think we deserved better at Everton and maybe better against Ipswich, and we have a lot of things to manage better in our way of playing,” Sage said this week. “Now we need points, and I know that Leeds are really a good team. I saw them at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea, and I saw the game against Newcastle too, and they are really, really good.”

Palace's one win of the campaign came 3-2 away at Fulham, a result built on recovering from two losing positions to snatch a late winner. It is a reminder that a defence conceding freely at the other end is not paired with an attack short of ideas. Tyrick Mitchell leads the club's scoring this season, while Daichi Kamada has set up more Premier League goals than any other Palace player.

Axel Disasi's suspension is a fresh blow on top of an already stretched defence. The Frenchman was sent off for a foul on Ipswich's Jack Clarke on 12 September and begins a three-match ban at Elland Road, forcing further changes to a back three already missing Chadi Riad through injury.

Crystal Palace will, however, be boosted after their 4-0 Europa League win against Lech Poznan, and Sage will be looking for his team to build on that result at Elland Road.

Team News and Predicted XIs: Leeds vs Crystal Palace

Leeds United team news

Joe Rodon's continued hamstring absence has pushed James Justin into central defence alongside summer arrivals Nico Elvedi and Tarik Muharemovic, a back three that has conceded just three goals across four league games. Mateo Joseph remains out with a knee problem, while Harry Wilson is a fresh absentee, having picked up a quadriceps strain as a substitute in the win over Newcastle United.

Wilson's injury removes a squad option who had offered competition for the wide forward roles, but it does not disturb the pairing that started up front against Newcastle, with Noah Okafor and Dominic Calvert-Lewin again the expected front two here.

Farke has kept faith with the 3-5-2 system since making the change last season, and there is little reason to expect a change against a Palace side already missing key defensive personnel of its own.

Leeds United predicted lineup vs Crystal Palace

Leeds United (3-5-2, probable): Trafford; Justin, Elvedi, Muharemovic; Bogle, Stach, Ampadu, Tanaka, Gudmundsson; Calvert-Lewin, Okafor.

Crystal Palace team news

Dean Henderson's foot injury keeps Walter Benitez in goal for Palace. Chadi Riad's knee injury is a long-term issue that rules him out well beyond this fixture, and Jean-Philippe Mateta remains sidelined with a hamstring problem.

Axel Disasi's suspension compounds the defensive picture, leaving Chris Richards, Takehiro Tomiyasu and Honest Ahanor to form a back three shorn of two senior options. It is a demanding ask against a Leeds front two that has scored in every home league game so far this season.

With Mateta out, Jorgen Strand Larsen leads the line, supported by Daichi Kamada and Yeremy Pino in behind. Kamada has set up more Premier League goals than any other Palace player this season and will be central to whatever route Sage's side find to goal at Elland Road.

Palace also have a Europa League fixture to manage around this trip, having beaten Lech Poznan 4-0 in their continental opener three days before travelling to Yorkshire, so squad freshness is a live consideration heading into a third match in eight days.

Crystal Palace predicted lineup vs Leeds United

Crystal Palace (3-4-2-1, probable): Benitez; Richards, Tomiyasu, Ahanor; Khalaili, Timber, Wharton, Mitchell; Kamada, Pino; Strand Larsen.

Head-to-Head: Leeds vs Crystal Palace

Leeds hold the historical edge in the Premier League meetings between the two sides, with six wins to Palace's five and three draws from 14 top-flight meetings in all. That record spans two separate spells in the top flight for Leeds, including their promotion-season return in 2025-26.

The last five meetings have been tighter than the overall record suggests. Two goalless draws, in April 2022 and again in March this year, bookend the run. In between, Leeds won 4-1 at Elland Road in December 2025, while Palace won twice, 2-1 at Selhurst Park in October 2022 and 5-1 at Elland Road in April 2023.

That 5-1 defeat came under a different Leeds regime and predates the current Farke era. It is a useful reminder that Palace can hurt this fixture on their day, but it carries little weight as a guide to Sunday's team news or form lines.

More relevant is the pattern of recent home meetings specifically. Leeds have won four of their last six Premier League games against Palace at Elland Road, and the closest recent result at this ground, the December 2025 meeting, still finished as a comfortable home win.

Leeds vs Crystal Palace Predictions and Betting Tips

Prices below are drawn from a spread of firms rather than a single book. Readers comparing the wider market before staking anything can find our new bookmakers ranking useful, alongside our dedicated list of the best football UK betting sites. Our wider round-up of the top 10 online betting sites is a good starting point for comparing the market as a whole, and readers wanting the detail on a specific firm's football markets can check our bet365 review or the latest bet365 bonus code for new customers.

Odds correct as of Friday, 18 September 2026, 18:03 BST.