Everton vs Manchester United Prediction, Tips and Odds | 06/09/2026

Matchweek 3 of the Premier League brings together two sides who have yet to find any kind of consistency, as Everton host Manchester United at the Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sunday at 14:00 BST – and our Everton vs Manchester United prediction is a 1-1 draw, with the evidence pointing firmly towards another tight, attritional contest rather than the open game United might want.

Michael Carrick's side travel to Merseyside with unanswered questions about their ability to break down defences built to frustrate, while David Moyes has already demonstrated that his Everton are capable of taking points without dominating the ball – which is precisely the scenario that should concern United most heading into this fixture. If you are looking for markets to explore, check out the our betting guides for a breakdown of how each type of bet works.

Preview: Everton vs Manchester United

David Moyes has overseen a positive early-season start, taking four points from two games without coming out on top in terms of possession – Everton sat at 42% of the ball against both Crystal Palace and Bournemouth.

The 2-0 win over Palace on the opening day was particularly instructive: Everton surrendered territory throughout, though it may be a slight concern that Jordan Pickford was needed to save four shots, while he was also required to save four shots against Bournemouth.

At the top of the pitch, Thierno Barry has given the Toffees a direct route to the final third, latching onto early balls over the top, and it was his movement in the channels that created the opening for Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall to score the first goal against Palace – though if you want to see where the best best football betting sites UK have priced both teams' goal markets, that will tell you how the wider market views the attacking threat on either side.

The real test for Everton's structure on Sunday is whether it can withstand the pressure United apply, especially from Bruno Fernandes, who has started the campaign exceptionally well.

Manchester United's opening two games have been polar extremes under Carrick: at Hull City, they dominated the ball completely – 71.6% possession, 34 open-play crosses – but were toothless in attack, losing 2-0.

The Ipswich game a week later could hardly have been more different, with Ipswich pressing high, and leaving plenty of space for United to exploit, which they did time and time again, with Fernandes netting a hat-trick.

Moyes is unlikely to afford the Red Devils the same amount of space, and the concern for the visitors will be their ability to defend set pieces and contain counter-attacks.

Marcus Rashford is likely to start on the left side of attack in a 4-2-3-1 after playing 80 minutes against Ipswich, and he will hope to provide the direct dribbling and shooting threat needed to unlock Everton's deep defence.

The absence of Amad Diallo until October is a significant personnel setback for this type of game, given the winger's capacity to create from wide in tight spaces, but he is one of a number of players alongside the likes of Carlos Baleba expected to miss the fixture.

Carrick will have to keep one eye on the first Manchester derby of the season at Old Trafford next week, especially as he will have to contest a Champions League game against Sabah FK on Thursday. Read our SpreadEx betting site review for a full breakdown of their Premier League markets, including options on correct score and first goalscorer for this fixture.

Team news: Everton vs Manchester United

Everton

Christian Norgaard is the only confirmed absentee at Everton, with Moyes acknowledging on August 28 that his midfielder was making poor progress and was unlikely to return soon, so it remains to be seen if he will play before the first international break in September.

Hayden Hackney trained normally during the week, and while there are some concerns about a minor ankle issue, he should be ready to make an appearance in some capacity.

The most significant piece of squad news at Everton is the arrival of Jack Grealish on loan from Manchester City, completed on September 1 after Iliman Ndiaye moved in the opposite direction. Grealish's ability to hold the ball under pressure in tight areas will be needed if the Toffees are to avoid being penned in by United, although he may have to initially settle for a place on the bench.

Ainsley Maitland-Niles joined from Lyon in the same window and provides cover at right-back and in midfield, though the starting XI is unlikely to change significantly from the settled back four and double-pivot that worked against Palace and Bournemouth.

The departures of Ndiaye, Beto, Nathan Patterson and Tim Iroegbunam have reshaped the squad considerably, and Moyes will be working with a thinner attacking roster than he had at the start of pre-season, but with Barry's pace up front and the new betting sites in the UK already pricing Everton shorter than might have been expected, the market appears to agree that Moyes has assembled a competitive unit for this stage of the season.

Manchester United

The lengthiest absentee on the United injury list is Manuel Ugarte, who underwent surgery in July after tearing knee ligaments representing Uruguay at the World Cup – he has no confirmed return date and is expected to miss the majority of the 2026-27 campaign.

Amad Diallo is out until around October 10 with an ankle problem, confirmed by Carrick on August 28, and the loss of the winger from United's squad for this clash could be significant given he would have offered a different type of threat to the likes of Bryan Mbeumo.

Baleba, the summer arrival from Brighton, faces a mid-September return at the earliest with an ankle issue Carrick described as no major concern, while Matthijs de Ligt could return soon after months of back surgery rehabilitation. The centre-back has been in individual training but was ruled out for United's first two games, though there is no firm indication he will be involved at the weekend.

Mason Mount returned to full group training this week, which Carrick called “a real positive”, and there is a chance that he could make the bench.

Everton vs Manchester United – predicted XIs

Predicted Everton XI (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford; Merlin Rohl, James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite, Vitaliy Mykolenko; James Garner, Harrison Armstrong; Brennan Johnson, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Tyrique George; Thierno Barry

Predicted Manchester United XI (4-2-3-1): Senne Lammens; Diogo Dalot, Harry Maguire, Lisandro Martinez, Luke Shaw; Kobbie Mainoo, Youri Tielemans; Bryan Mbeumo, Bruno Fernandes, Marcus Rashford; Matheus Cunha

Head-to-head: Everton vs Manchester United

Manchester United's overall record across 213 meetings in all competitions stands at 96 wins to Everton's 69, with 48 draws and a combined 615 goals; 324 for United, 291 for Everton.

The recent trend favours United, who have won three of the last five league meetings, with Everton's only success in that period coming away from home, a 1-0 win at Old Trafford in November 2025.

The most recent fixture at Hill Dickinson Stadium, in February 2026, ended 1-0 to United through a Benjamin Sesko substitute goal in the 71st minute, and the Toffees can have no complaints with the scoreline.

Everton have not won a home league fixture against United in four consecutive attempts, losing 1-0, 2-1 and 3-0 in that time, while also drawing 2-2 once.

Our Everton vs Manchester United prediction and tips