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Erling Haaland is the 1/3 favourite to win the Premier League Golden Boot once again after doing so for a third time in four years last season.
The Manchester City striker scored 27 goals in 2025/26 to reclaim the award after missing out the previous year, and Alexander Isak (9/1) is expected to be his closest challenger this campaign in terms of odds from our selected bookmakers.
The table below compares prices on eight leading contenders across bet365, BetMGM, Ladbrokes, William Hill and Betfred, and is checked and updated weekly.
Latest Premier League top scorer odds
- Favourite: Erling Haaland
- Best price available: Erling Haaland at 1/3
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Who are the favourites to be Premier League top scorer?
Erling Haaland
Erling Haaland is unsurprisingly the favourite with our selected bookmakers to finish as the Premier League top scorer once again.
He is almost always available for Man City, playing in 35 league games last season, and very rarely gets substituted off.
There is also no real competition for Haaland in the striker position, so the Norwegian is likely to see plenty more minutes in a Man City shirt.
He has made a fast start to the season with nine goals, and unsurprisingly leads the charts in its early stages.
Current price range: 1/4 (BetMGM) to 1/3 (Ladbrokes). Best available: 1/3 (Ladbrokes).
Alexander Isak
After his British-record £125m move from Newcastle United last summer, much was expected of Alexander Isak when he joined the then-Premier League champions Liverpool.
However, with the transfer dragging on until the deadline and a lack of pre-season, the Sweden international first struggled to adapt to life at Anfield.
Injuries also severely hampered Isak’s progress, limiting him to just 14 appearances in the Premier League last season for the Reds, scoring only three goals.
However, there is no doubting his ability having netted 23 goals in 34 league appearances for Newcastle in 2024/25, and should he be able to keep himself fit for the whole season, he is the player that will most likely challenge Haaland for the Golden Boot.
Isak is second in the race with six goals so far this season, three behind leader Haaland.
Current price range: 6/1 (Ladbrokes) to 9/1 (William Hill). Best available: 9/1 (William Hill).
Joao Pedro
Unlike one player on this list Thiago, Joao Pedro was not picked for Brazil in their World Cup squad, which means he had a summer off.
This could give him a major advantage over other candidates, as he has been fully fit and ready to go for the season.
Pedro also scored plenty of goals for Chelsea in pre-season, which always bodes well in terms of his potential early form, having already scored five goals this season.
With the Blues not playing in Europe either, the forward will be able to fully focus on scoring goals in the Premier League.
Current price range: 10/1 (bet365, BetMGM, William Hill, Betfred) to 11/1 (Ladbrokes). Best available: 11/1 (Ladbrokes).
Cole Palmer
Having previously scored a high volume of goals in the Premier League, Cole Palmer could be one to watch as an outside bet.
Admittedly, he was not at his best last season, and it cost him a place in England’s World Cup squad in the end.
However, Palmer has started this campaign well, scoring twice in Chelsea’s first five games.
The midfielder takes penalties too, which is always a bonus in terms of racking up goals.
Current price range: 40/1 (bet365, BetMGM, William Hill) to 50/1 (Ladbrokes, Betfred). Best available: 50/1 (Ladbrokes, Betfred).
Other contenders
Igor Thiago, Morgan Rogers, Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Bryan Mbeumo (all 66/1) are seen as outsiders.
Premier League top scorer prediction / betting tip
- Our pick: Erling Haaland
- Best odds: Ladbrokes
- Current goals: 9
- Why he appeals: Haaland has won three of the last four Golden Boots, is almost always available and has little competition for his starting place.
- Main risk: Haaland did not have the summer off, Man City are not as strong as previous seasons and of course, injuries would cut into his minutes.
How does Premier League Golden Boot betting work?
A Premier League top scorer bet is on the player who finishes with the most goals in the top flight.
Bookmakers may settle according to their own rules, so readers should check terms.
If players finish level on goals, some bookmakers may use dead-heat rules, while the official FIFA Golden Boot uses tie-breakers such as assists and minutes played.
If you want to compare how different bookmakers use different tie-breakers, check out our new UK betting sites.
What matters when betting on Premier League top scorer odds?
- Team progression: Stronger teams naturally create more chances for their main goal-getters to score from.
- Penalty duties: Penalty takers have a major edge.
- Minutes security: Avoid players likely to be rotated or substituted early, or those not guaranteed as starters in the first place.
- Fixture difficulty: Weaker opponents can create early scoring spikes, and confidence can play a big part in a forward’s season.
- Current goal tally: Live bettors should not ignore goals already banked.
- Assists / tie-break rules: Relevant if betting on official Golden Boot rather than bookmaker dead-heat settlement.
- Injuries and suspensions: Availability is the best ability. A player who rarely misses games through injury or suspension is usually a safer bet than an injury-prone or ill-disciplined one.
You can find more advice and markets in our TNT Sports betting hub.
Adam is a freelance sports journalist with a decade of experience in the industry. Football is his passion, although he also follows darts and many other sports.
Adam supports Arsenal and local club Wealdstone, made famous by the Wealdstone Raider, who he has interviewed. Adam also follows the women's teams and the England national side.