Liverpool vs Chelsea
Key Details
EFL Cup fourth round
Anfield, Liverpool
Wednesday 28 October, 8pm
Our Prediction
Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea
Key Stat
Liverpool have scored 14 goals in their last five games
Top Tip
Liverpool to qualify
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Liverpool vs Chelsea
Wednesday, 20:00 · EFL Cup
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Xabi Alonso returns to Anfield to face former club Liverpool as an opposition manager yet again, but this time with his vulnerable Chelsea side on Wednesday night in the fourth round of the EFL Cup.

The Blues boss will have to find a way of getting by without the suspended Cole Palmer, who was sent off against Tottenham Hotspur on the weekend, and another loss could add significantly more pressure on the head coach.

Preview: Liverpool vs Chelsea form and context

Recent Form
Liverpool
L
W
W
W
W
Chelsea
D
L
W
W
L

Liverpool made a slow start to life under Andoni Iraola, drawing their first two games of the season, with Newcastle United and Nottingham Forest, but the hosts have since found form.

They have won eight of their last 10 games, including each of their last four, with those four wins including triumphs against LASK (6-3), Villarreal (4-3), Brentford (2-1) and Brighton (2-0).

Iraola will be particularly pleased to have kept Brighton at bay considering the Seagulls were the Premier League’s most productive team having netted 23 times in their first seven games, while the fact that the likes of Alexander Isak and Bradley Barcola flourished on the weekend should be seen as a positive sign for things to come.

Liverpool currently find themselves fourth in the Premier League with 15 points from eight matchweeks, and though they trail second-placed Arsenal and first-placed Manchester City by six points, they are set to welcome the former to Anfield on Sunday.

Last time out in the EFL Cup, the Merseysiders emerged as 3-1 victors against Tottenham Hotspur, with Dominik Szoboszlai scoring an incredible ranged strike to seal the win in the third round.

No other team has won the EFL Cup more than Liverpool (10), and they have managed to reach the final three times in the last five seasons, so they will believe they have what it takes to go far in this iteration of the competition.

Liverpool vs Chelsea comparison
Last 5 games
Liverpool
Chelsea
League Position
4th
5th
Wins
4
2
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
2
Goals Scored
14
9
Goals Conceded
10
8
Clean Sheets
1
1

Alonso was widely linked with the Liverpool job in the summer, but Chelsea managed to bring the Spaniard to London, hoping he could restore the Blues to their place at the top of the table.

Fans understood that it would not be a quick process back to the top, though some are concerned about the team’s current placement of fifth, especially as they only have 13 points.

Their 2-0 defeat against Tottenham on Saturday at Stamford Bridge was unthinkable, and it was alarming to see Alonso’s midfield so easily outplayed, and a lack of defensive coverage has contributed to the club conceding 15 goals in the league.

At the other end of the pitch, the Londoners have scored 17 goals in the top flight, though striker Joao Pedro is set to be out for some weeks, and his absence will make earning a second win in nine visits to Anfield significantly more challenging.

In the EFL Cup’s second round, Chelsea emerged as 2-0 winners against Luton Town on August 27, but they had to come back from a 2-0 deficit to beat Leeds United 6-3 on September 9 in the third round.

Team news: Liverpool vs Chelsea predicted lineups

Liverpool team news

Liverpool – Outs and doubts
DOUBT
Florian Wirtz
Ankle knock, manager quite optimistic
DOUBT
Dominik Szoboszlai
Hamstring injury, return unclear
DOUBT
Victor Munoz
Knock, return unclear
OUT
Jeremie Frimpong
Muscle injury, unlikely back before the November international break
OUT
Conor Bradley
Knee surgery
OUT
Giovanni Leoni
Cruciate ligament injury
OUT
Hugo Ekitike
Long-term absence with an Achilles injury

Florian Wirtz was forced off the pitch against Brighton due to an ankle injury, though Iraola was optimistic about his chances of featuring.

Dominik Szoboszlai and Victor Munoz have not been ruled out entirely, but the head coach has suggested that they are unlikely to make appearances, while right-back Jeremie Frimpong is sidelined due to a muscle injury.

Conor Bradley, Giovanni Leoni and Hugo Ekitike are long-term absentees, though the first two may return before 2027.

Ronald Araujo is expected at right-back, and Joe Gomez could come into the XI in place of Virgil van Dijk in defence.

Elsewhere, Trey Nyoni could partner Alexis Mac Allister in the middle of the pitch, while Rio Ngumoha is likely to feature on the right side of attack.

Liverpool predicted lineup vs Chelsea

Mamardashvili; Araujo, Jacquet, Gomez, Kerkez; Nyoni, Mac Allister; Ngumoha, Gravenberch, Gakpo; Koumas

Predicted XI
Liverpool
4-2-3-1
Mamardashvili
Araujo
Jacquet
Gomez
Kerkez
Nyoni
Mac Allister
Ngumoha
Gravenberch
Gakpo
Koumas

Chelsea team news

Chelsea – Outs and doubts
OUT
Cole Palmer
Suspended, one-match ban after a second yellow card against Tottenham
OUT
Joao Pedro
Thigh injury, out for a few weeks
OUT
Emiliano Martinez
Broken jaw
OUT
Reece James
Expected to miss the game
OUT
Jamie Gittens
Expected to miss the game
OUT
Emmanuel Emegha
Not yet available, expected back around 31 October
DOUBT
Pep Chavarria
Being assessed, not expected to be fit in time

The two yellows that Palmer received against Tottenham means he will serve a one-game suspension on Wednesday.

It has been reported that a thigh injury will keep Joao Pedro out for a few weeks, and that could mean that Danny Welbeck is in line for a start up front.

Emiliano Martinez is out with a broken jaw, so Mike Penders is expected in goal.

Reece James is still sidelined, so if the Blues continue to deploy a back three, expect to see Josh Acheampong on the right.

Chelsea predicted lineup vs Liverpool

Penders; Acheampong, Fofana, Colwill; Gusto, Caicedo, Lavia, Hato; Estevao, Welbeck, Rogers

Predicted XI
Chelsea
3-4-3
Penders
Acheampong
Fofana
Colwill
Gusto
Caicedo
Lavia
Hato
Estevao
Welbeck
Rogers

Head-to-head: Liverpool vs Chelsea record

Liverpool vs Chelsea head-to-head
87 – 47 – 66
Liverpool wins
Draws
Chelsea wins
Last meeting: 9 May, Premier League, Anfield, Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea
Liverpool 4 winsLast 10 meetingsChelsea 2 wins

Liverpool lead the all-time record with 87 wins to Chelsea’s 66 and 47 draws from 200 meetings in all competitions.

The last meeting was a 1-1 draw at Anfield in the Premier League on May 9, with Chelsea winning the reverse fixture at Stamford Bridge 2-1 in October 2025.

Liverpool have lost only two of their past 13 encounters with the Blues, winning five times and drawing six games in that period.

Liverpool are unbeaten in their last five league clashes with the Londoners at Anfield, drawing three and winning two.

Chelsea won the 2005 EFL Cup final 3-2 after extra time, but Liverpool won the 2022 final 11-10 on penalties, as well as the 2024 final 1-0 after Van Dijk’s 118th-minute winner.

Our Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction and betting tips

Top Tip
Liverpool to qualify
Odds 1.70
Chelsea are without Palmer and Joao Pedro, and their record against Liverpool is poor given they are winless in their last five clashes at Anfield. A confident Liverpool side could come out on top, whether in 90 minutes or on penalties.
Value Bet
Liverpool to win and both teams to score
Odds 3.50
Liverpool have conceded in four of their last five games, and Welbeck has scored three times in two EFL Cup starts, so it would be surprising if the hosts managed to keep a clean sheet even if they win.
Longshot
Danny Welbeck to score first
Odds 6.20
Welbeck already has three goals in the EFL Cup, while Liverpool have conceded first in three of their last five games. Chelsea may lose, but they could open the scoring.
Free Choice
Liverpool to win the second half
Odds 2.30
Liverpool have won four games in a row and have home advantage against a Chelsea side missing Palmer and Joao Pedro. If the visitors open the scoring through Welbeck, Liverpool have shown the squad depth to respond after the break.
Our prediction
Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea
Liverpool’s four straight wins and 14 goals in five games give them the edge against a Chelsea side missing Palmer and Joao Pedro, although Welbeck’s EFL Cup form means the visitors could find a goal.
  • Result: Liverpool to win inside 90 minutes, extending their current run to five victories in a row
  • Chelsea scorer: Danny Welbeck, who has scored three times in two EFL Cup starts this season
  • Both teams to score, with Liverpool having conceded in four of their last five games