Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal
Key Details
Carabao Cup, Fourth Round
Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood
Tuesday 27 October 2026, 8pm (GMT)
Our Prediction
Fleetwood Town 1-3 Arsenal
Key Stat
Arsenal have scored 10 and conceded just three across their last five matches, while Fleetwood have shipped eight in their own five.
Top Tip
Arsenal to win by two or more goals
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Fleetwood vs Arsenal
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  • Over 3.5 – Over/Under Total Goals

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Fleetwood Town host Arsenal on Tuesday on the back of their best-ever run in this competition, three clean sheets from three rounds against Chesterfield, Shrewsbury Town and Sheffield United, with the tie played out at a stadium that happens to share its name with Arsenal’s old ground, vacated for the Emirates Stadium more than 20 years ago.

Arsenal arrive without two first-choice defenders, William Saliba and Riccardo Calafiori, and leading scorer Bukayo Saka, though Mikel Arteta’s squad still has more than enough quality in reserve to field a strong side, with the club sitting second in the Premier League.

Fleetwood Town and Arsenal enter their Carabao Cup tie in contrasting form

Recent Form
Fleetwood Town
W
D
W
L
L
Arsenal
W
W
W
D
W

Fleetwood sit 18th in League Two on 14 points from 13 games, a goal difference of minus two, and their league form has cooled with back-to-back away defeats at Cheltenham Town and Exeter City.

Cup football tells a different story entirely, Fleetwood having won all three of their rounds without conceding, beating Chesterfield, Shrewsbury and a Sheffield United side settled by a Rhys Norrington-Davies own goal.

Matt Lawlor, confirmed as permanent head coach earlier this year, has stuck with the back three that has underpinned those clean sheets, while top scorer Ronan Coughlan has five league goals and captain Ched Evans has found the net in all three of his cup appearances.

Home advantage matters too, Fleetwood having lost just once in 10 games across all competitions at Highbury Stadium this season.

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal comparison
Last 5 games
Fleetwood Town
Arsenal
League Position
18th
2nd
Wins
2
4
Draws
1
1
Losses
2
0
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
8
3
Clean Sheets
1
3

Arsenal have won four of their last five matches and lost none of them, a run that has kept them second in the Premier League behind Man City and included a credible 2-2 draw away to Bayern Munich in the Champions League.

Saka’s thigh injury, picked up 10 minutes into that Bayern trip, has been described by Arteta as not looking good at all, with the club bracing for an absence of up to eight weeks that points towards an early December return.

Saliba has not played a single minute all season because of a back problem that first flared up during France’s World Cup semi-final defeat to Spain, and while no surgery was required, multiple reports now place his comeback at the start of November, too soon for this tie.

Calafiori played through a knock picked up during the win over Everton but has since been added to the absentee list, leaving Arteta’s options at left-sided centre-back thinner than usual for this tie.

Team news and predicted lineups for Fleetwood Town and Arsenal

Fleetwood Town: doubts and absences

Fleetwood Town – Outs and doubts
OUT
Lewis McCann
Suspended, second yellow card of the tournament
OUT
Kane Thompson-Sommers
Long-term injury
OUT
Andy Cannon
Fitness issue, missing since late August

McCann picked up his second yellow card of the tournament against Sheffield United and will serve a one-match ban, leaving him out of a tie he will have wanted to play in.

Thompson-Sommers remains out long term, while Cannon has not featured since the end of August because of his own fitness problem.

Rhys Bennett is back from his own suspension and expected to retake his place in the back three alongside Finley Potter and Shaun Rooney.

Lawlor has given no indication he will change the shape that has delivered three clean sheets, meaning Raffaele Cirino and Danny Andrew keep their wing-back roles either side of a five-man midfield, with Ronan Coughlan partnering captain Ched Evans up front.

Fleetwood Town predicted lineup vs Arsenal

Lynch; Rooney, Bennett, Potter; Cirino, McLean, Neal, Helm, Andrew; Coughlan, Evans

Predicted XI
Fleetwood Town
3-5-2
Lynch
Rooney
Bennett
Potter
Cirino
McLean
Neal
Helm
Andrew
Coughlan
Evans

Arsenal: doubts and absences

Arsenal – Outs and doubts
OUT
Bukayo Saka
Thigh injury, targeting early December return
OUT
William Saliba
Back injury, targeting a start of November return
OUT
Riccardo Calafiori
Played through a knock against Everton, since ruled out
OUT
Christos Tzolis
Hamstring injury

Saka’s absence rules out Arsenal’s leading Premier League scorer this term, with three goals already, while Saliba has yet to feature once this season because of the back issue traced back to France’s World Cup semi-final.

Calafiori has also been ruled out after playing on through his knock against Everton, and Tzolis is missing too because of a hamstring problem, leaving Arteta short of options at left-sided centre-back and out wide.

Martin Odegaard, Declan Rice, David Raya and Gabriel Magalhaes are all fit but expected to be rested, with a Premier League trip to Liverpool following at the weekend giving Arteta every reason to manage his senior players against lower-league opposition.

Marli Salmon is poised to deputise in a reshaped back four, while up front Arteta is expected to turn to Viktor Gyokeres to lead the line, with Max Dowman given licence to play off him after his man-of-the-round display against Ipswich Town in the previous round, and Martin Zubimendi back to full fitness alongside Myles Lewis-Skelly in a double pivot.

Arsenal predicted lineup vs Fleetwood Town

Kepa; Timber, Salmon, Mosquera, Hincapie; Zubimendi, Lewis-Skelly; Dowman, Merino, Eze; Gyokeres

Predicted XI
Arsenal
4-2-3-1
Kepa
Timber
Salmon
Mosquera
Hincapie
Zubimendi
Lewis-
Skelly
Dowman
Merino
Eze
Gyokeres

Fleetwood Town and Arsenal have never met before this Carabao Cup tie

Head-to-head record
0 – 0 – 0
Fleetwood Town wins
Draws
Arsenal wins
No prior meetings between these two clubs in any competition.

These two clubs have never met before, in the Carabao Cup or anywhere else, making Tuesday a first in every sense.

The only link between the clubs is the stadium name itself, Arsenal having left their own Highbury for the Emirates Stadium more than 20 years ago, long before this particular ground in Lancashire hosted a fixture of this stature.

A first-ever meeting against a genuine Premier League title contender would rank as the standout result in Fleetwood’s 118-year history, whatever the eventual scoreline.

Our Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal prediction, tips and odds

Arsenal’s price to win outright has been quoted as short as 1.07, which makes this one of the most one-sided ties of the Fourth Round and pushes the genuine value into the margin, goals and scorer markets instead.

Top Tip
Arsenal to win by two or more goals
Odds 3.80
Arsenal have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches and have not lost since mid-September, while Fleetwood have won only two of their own last five and sit 18th in League Two. The gulf in quality between a title-chasing Premier League side and a struggling third-tier outfit makes a comfortable winning margin more likely than a narrow one.
Value Bet
Over 3.5 Goals
Odds 1.90
Arsenal have scored 10 goals in their last five matches, an average of two a game against far stronger opposition than they face here, while Fleetwood’s own defence has shipped eight across the same stretch. A heavily weakened Fleetwood back line against an attack this prolific points towards a high-scoring afternoon.
Longshot
Jurrien Timber to score anytime
Odds 5.50
Timber is set to start at right-back in a makeshift Arsenal defence that will see plenty of the ball against a team sitting 18th in League Two, and he already has goal involvements from wide areas this season. At odds this long for a confirmed starter in a one-sided fixture, the price looks generous.
Free Choice
Both Teams To Score
Odds 2.60
Fleetwood have scored in every one of their last five matches despite their patchy results, and their cup clean-sheet run has come against lower-division opposition rather than a side with Arsenal’s attacking depth. A heavily rotated Arsenal back four, including one teenage defender, gives Fleetwood a route to a goal of their own.

Odds correct as of Monday, 26 October 2026, 15:15 GMT.

Our Prediction
Fleetwood Town 1-3 Arsenal
Arsenal’s quality should tell even with the changes forced on Arteta, and Fleetwood’s resistance is likely to crack against a front line built around Viktor Gyokeres and Max Dowman. Fleetwood’s own attacking form, with goals in every one of their last five matches, should be enough to avoid a shutout and give the home crowd something to cheer.
  • Likely scorers: Viktor Gyokeres and Mikel Merino
  • Fleetwood’s three-match cup clean-sheet run looks set to end against a significantly stronger attack, but Ronan Coughlan has the form to get Fleetwood on the scoresheet