Barcelona vs Real Madrid
Key Details
La Liga, matchday 10
Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona
Sunday 25 October, 8pm
Our Prediction
Barcelona 3-1 Real Madrid
Key Stat
Kylian Mbappe has scored in five of his nine La Liga games this season, netting nine in that spell
Top Tip
Kylian Mbappe to score anytime

Barcelona can become the first side to win their opening 10 La Liga games when Real Madrid visit Spotify Camp Nou on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 8pm UK time, and they must try to do it with three defenders on the injury list.

Real Madrid arrive third in the table, six points behind, with Jose Mourinho taking charge of his first Clasico since returning to the club and without the suspended Vinicius Junior.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid preview and form guide

Recent Form
Barcelona
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W
W
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Real Madrid
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L
W
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Barcelona have won every one of their nine league games, scoring 39 and conceding nine, and lead Atletico Madrid by five points and Real Madrid by six.

That scoring record runs ahead of the chances created, with 30.3 expected goals behind it, and Raphinha has scored 12 from 7.7.

At home the picture is starker, with four wins from four by an aggregate 17-4, which stretches Barcelona's league run at home to 23 straight wins when last season's 19 from 19 is included.

Barcelona's first defeat of the season came at PSG on Tuesday, 4-2 in the Champions League, with Xavi Espart and Lamine Yamal on the scoresheet and Dani Olmo forced off injured.

Yamal has eight goals and six assists in nine league games, while Anthony Gordon, expected on the left, has one goal and four assists in eight.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid comparison
Last five La Liga games
Barcelona
Real Madrid
League Position
1
3
Wins
5
4
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
1
Goals Scored
22
13
Goals Conceded
7
6
Clean Sheets
1
1

Real Madrid have won their last four games in all competitions, scoring four goals in each of the last three, most recently in a 4-1 win over RB Leipzig on Wednesday.

Away from home the record is less convincing, with two wins and two defeats from their last four league trips, six goals scored and six conceded, and losses at Real Betis and Atletico Madrid.

Mbappe remains the focal point, with nine league goals from 8.9 expected and a hat-trick against Real Sociedad among them.

Real Madrid have scored 23 league goals from 19.7 expected, a far smaller overperformance than Barcelona's, and their defence has been as tight as Barcelona's over the same nine games.

Without Vinicius Junior, Mourinho has to rebuild the left of his attack, and Yan Diomande, with two goals and two assists in nine league games, is the most likely beneficiary.

Jude Bellingham has three goals and three assists in nine league games and is expected to play just behind Mbappe.

Mourinho's Leipzig line-up included Antonio Rudiger, Alvaro Carreras and Eduardo Camavinga, none of whom is expected to start on Sunday, so Wednesday's side is not a guide to this one.

Team news and predicted XIs for Barcelona vs Real Madrid

Barcelona team news

Barcelona – Outs and doubts
Out
Dani Olmo
Left adductor injury, around four weeks
Out
Jules Kounde
Left ankle injury, ruled out
Out
Eric Garcia
Thigh injury, three to four weeks
Out
Andreas Christensen
Thigh injury
Out
Roony Bardghji
Cruciate ligament injury, long-term
Doubt
Gerard Martin
Ankle problem, expected to start

Olmo's adductor injury takes out the attacking midfielder who went off in Paris, and Fermin Lopez, who has four goals and three assists in eight league games, is the likely replacement.

The back line is the bigger worry, with Jules Kounde, Eric Garcia and Andreas Christensen all out, which leaves Pau Cubarsi and Gerard Martin as the only fit specialist centre-backs in the squad.

Joan Garcia is expected in goal, with Espart, 19, and Joao Cancelo at full-back, as they were against PSG.

Rodri is expected to come in for Marc Bernal alongside Pedri after coming off the bench at 60 minutes in Paris.

Raphinha started at PSG for the first time since 19 September after a thigh problem and should lead the line again, with Gabriel Jesus and Karim Adeyemi the alternatives.

Barcelona predicted lineup vs Real Madrid

Garcia; Espart, Cubarsi, Martin, Cancelo; Rodri, Pedri; Yamal, Lopez, Gordon; Raphinha

Predicted XI
Barcelona
4-2-3-1
Garcia
Espart
Cubarsi
Martin
Cancelo
Rodri
Pedri
Yamal
Lopez
Gordon
Raphinha

Real Madrid team news

Real Madrid – Outs and doubts
Out
Vinicius Junior
Suspended, second game of a four-match La Liga ban
Out
Rodrygo
Cruciate ligament injury, back around late December
Out
Raul Asencio
Leg stress fracture, back around January

Vinicius Junior is suspended for the second game of a four-match ban after his red card against Villarreal, and he is not available again until late November.

Rodrygo is out with a cruciate ligament injury until around late December, while Raul Asencio has a leg stress fracture and is not expected back until around January.

The right side of the team is the open question, with Federico Valverde expected at right-back, as he was against Sevilla and Leipzig, and Denzel Dumfries or Trent Alexander-Arnold the alternatives.

Bernardo Silva, who scored against Leipzig, is expected to partner Aurelien Tchouameni in midfield, with Arda Guler and Diomande either side of Bellingham.

Thibaut Courtois is expected in goal, with Ibrahima Konate and Dean Huijsen at centre-back.

Marc Cucurella is expected at left-back, where he will face Yamal, a Spain team-mate, down Barcelona's right.

Real Madrid predicted lineup vs Barcelona

Courtois; Valverde, Konate, Huijsen, Cucurella; Tchouameni, Silva; Guler, Bellingham, Diomande; Mbappe

Predicted XI
Real Madrid
4-2-3-1
Courtois
Valverde
Konate
Huijsen
Cucurella
Tchouameni
Silva
Guler
Bellingham
Diomande
Mbappe

Head-to-head: Barcelona vs Real Madrid record

Barcelona vs Real Madrid head-to-head
106 – 52 – 106
Barcelona wins
Draws
Real Madrid wins
Last meeting: 10 May 2026, La Liga, Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona 2-0 Real Madrid
Last five meetings: Barcelona four winsReal Madrid one win

The all-time record could hardly be closer, with 264 official games producing 106 wins each and 52 draws.

Barcelona have won four of the last five meetings in all competitions, scoring 13 and conceding nine, and three or more goals were scored in four of those games.

The most recent was a 2-0 home win on 10 May, when Marcus Rashford and Ferran Torres scored, and both have since left the club.

Barcelona have won six of the last seven Clasicos in all competitions, with Real Madrid's 2-1 win in October 2025 the exception.

Raphinha has scored seven times against Real Madrid, second among Brazilians in Clasico history behind Vinicius Junior, who is suspended.

Mourinho and Hansi Flick have met once as managers, when Bayern Munich beat Tottenham 3-1 in December 2019.

Our Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction and betting tips

Top Tip
Kylian Mbappe to score anytime
Odds 2.00
Mbappe has scored in five of his nine league games, while Barcelona shipped four goals in Paris on Tuesday and have only two fit specialist centre-backs. If Real Madrid score at all, the pass in behind Cubarsi and Martin to Mbappe is the most likely source, even in a Barcelona win.
Value Bet
Barcelona to win
Odds 1.65
Barcelona have won 23 straight home league games across two seasons, while Real Madrid have lost two of their last four league trips. The gap is wider than the six points between them, because Real Madrid also lose Vinicius Junior to suspension.
Longshot
Correct score: Barcelona 3-1 Real Madrid
Odds 10.00
Barcelona have scored 17 times in four home league games, an average of 4.25, while Real Madrid have scored six times in four away league games. A 3-1 needs Mbappe to find the net through a stretched defence while Barcelona still score three, which is why the price is long.
Free Choice
Raphinha to assist
Odds 2.62
Raphinha has three assists to go with 12 goals in eight league games, while Real Madrid have conceded nine in nine. Yamal, with eight goals, and Gordon, with four assists, give him runners to find.

Odds correct as of Friday 23 October 2026.

Our prediction
Barcelona 3-1 Real Madrid
Barcelona's attack has produced 30.3 expected goals in nine games and faces a Real Madrid defence that has conceded nine in nine, a combination that favours the home side even with three defenders out. Real Madrid have enough in Mbappe to score once, but the absence of Vinicius Junior removes their second route through the left.
  • Barcelona goals: Yamal, Raphinha and Gordon, with Raphinha also supplying an assist
  • Real Madrid goal: Mbappe
  • Table: a win would put Barcelona nine points clear of Real Madrid