Arsenal vs Everton Prediction, Tips and Odds | Premier League

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Arsenal vs Everton

Saturday, 15:00 · Premier League

• Yes – Arsenal to Win to Nil
• Under 2.5 – Over/Under Total Goals

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Arsenal’s Premier League title defence hits its first genuinely uncomfortable juncture on Saturday. Bukayo Saka sustained a quad injury in the 10th minute of Wednesday’s 2-2 Champions League draw at Bayern Munich, with Mikel Arteta describing the outlook as “doesn’t look good at all.” The reigning champions now welcome Everton to the Emirates Stadium without their most productive attacker of the past three seasons. Arsenal sit second in the table with 18 points from seven games, three behind an unbeaten Manchester City, and this is precisely the kind of home game where depth, not just quality, gets tested.

Everton arrive having ended their own unbeaten start with a 2-0 home defeat to Chelsea last Saturday, but David Moyes’s side remain eighth, only three points off the top four, and have yet to lose a Premier League match on the road this season. They will take encouragement from that away resilience. The more daunting context is that Everton have not beaten Arsenal in seven consecutive meetings, and have failed to score in each of their last two visits to this ground. Arteta’s backroom will have done their homework on those numbers.

Arsenal vs Everton: Preview and form guide

The Saka situation is the immediate headline, but it is also the clearest expression of a broader Arsenal story: the depth Arteta built over seven seasons is now being called upon in ways it was not last year. Saka was replaced against Bayern by Eberechi Eze, who responded by scoring the opening goal at the Allianz Arena. Declan Rice’s equaliser then came from a lay-off by Viktor Gyokeres, who had already signalled his own claim for a starting role. Eze’s performance was an immediate answer to some sharp criticism of his showing against Nottingham Forest the week before, and he is now certain to start on the left on Saturday.

Arteta faces live selection debates beyond the Saka replacement. Gyokeres could lead the line after Kai Havertz struggled for impact at the Allianz Arena, and Myles Lewis-Skelly is pushing for a midfield berth after Bruno Guimaraes was exposed on the counter in Munich in a way that Rice, without adequate cover to his right, could not absorb.

The Emirates has been a fortress across Arsenal’s first seven weeks of the campaign. They have won all three Premier League home games, scoring seven goals and conceding just two, and their last nine consecutive home games in all competitions have ended in victory. Coming off a midweek European trip, there are questions about energy and freshness, but Arteta has been consistent in rotating without losing results, and the home advantage is real.

Arsenal’s only Premier League defeat this season came 3-0 at Brighton and Hove Albion in September. They have won both league games since, including a clean sheet in the 1-0 victory at Nottingham Forest last weekend, and their xG numbers across the campaign remain comfortably the best in the division alongside Man City.

Everton’s away form tells a deceptively resilient story. Three draws from three road trips this season (at Bournemouth, at Tottenham and at Hull City) have given them a foundation to work from, even if none were dominant performances. Moyes has organised his side to be difficult to break down, and Everton’s away total of three goals against in those games (averaging one per visit) has come entirely in the second half. Their first-half defensive record on the road is notably tight.

The broader picture for Everton is more sobering. They have won just one of their last six Premier League games, and their four draws in the division this season are joint-most alongside Brentford, Leeds United and Manchester United. Saturday’s 2-0 home loss to Chelsea, in which Pedro Neto scored twice, was their first defeat of the campaign and raised questions about whether their structure can hold against quality opponents given the opportunity to attack at pace. Arsenal, even without Saka, have the personnel to exploit those spaces from multiple angles.

David Moyes returned to Everton in January 2025 and has kept them competitive on a limited budget, but the club is under a degree of uncertainty off the pitch. His contract runs until the end of this season, and reports have circulated this month linking him with Celtic. Moyes himself has given nothing away, but the backdrop does little to stabilise a squad that requires a strong authority figure on the touchline. James Tarkowski, his captain, has spoken publicly about Everton’s ambitions in their new stadium, and Moyes will need that mentality on display when they come to north London.

There is also a pair of former Arsenal players within the visiting ranks. Ainsley Maitland-Niles, a product of Arsenal’s Hale End academy, scored a remarkable goal against Man United in September but has struggled for consistency since, and was substituted after 55 minutes in the Chelsea defeat after his defensive positioning led directly to the first goal. Whether he starts here is one of the key selection questions for Moyes. Christian Norgaard, meanwhile, a former Arsenal midfielder, made his Everton debut in that same Chelsea loss having recovered from a groin problem, and is expected to fill a rotation role.

Team news and predicted lineups

Arsenal

Saka’s absence is the defining team-news story of this fixture. Arteta confirmed the winger sustained a quad injury early in the Bayern match and immediately dampened expectations around a swift return, describing the prognosis as “doesn’t look good at all.” With Saliba also still out with a back complaint and Tzolis continuing his recovery from a thigh problem, Arsenal’s central defensive unit will look to Ezri Konsa and Gabriel Magalhaes to provide the defensive platform in William Saliba’s continued absence, a challenge they have met well this season but one that now comes under greater scrutiny.

Saka’s direct replacement on the right flank is almost certain to be Noni Madueke, who scored the decisive goal in last weekend’s 1-0 win at Nottingham Forest with a deflected strike in the 80th minute. Madueke shifts right, and Eze, who made his mark as a substitute at Bayern, earns a recall on the left. The attacking shape remains intact in terms of personnel, even if the most consistent creative link through the right channel is missing.

The bigger tactical decisions are in midfield and up front. Arteta may prefer Gyokeres to lead the line after his influential showing against Bayern: his lay-off for Rice’s equaliser was exactly the kind of intelligent, pressing-resistant hold-up work that Havertz could not replicate on the same evening. Lewis-Skelly could fill the midfield berth vacated by Guimaraes, who was frequently exposed behind Rice’s position against the German champions. Hincapie’s potential return from an ankle problem could also give Arteta an option at left-back, though Calafiori is expected to retain his place regardless.

Rice, despite carrying additional workload against Bayern, scored his first Arsenal goal of the season from midfield and has accumulated four assists in all competitions. He is the connector between the defensive and attacking lines that Everton will need to neutralise.

Everton

Moyes heads to north London with his strongest available squad intact, which is a meaningful advantage given how constrained his options typically are. The only genuine selection dilemma centres on right-back, where Maitland-Niles’s form has deteriorated sharply after a fine start to the season. His difficulty tracking back in the Chelsea loss, where his defensive positioning contributed to the opening goal, means Jake O’Brien is a credible alternative for this assignment. Moyes knows Arsenal’s left side, through Calafiori and the overlapping Eze, will be active, and he will need a defender rather than an attacker at right-back.

The midfield trio of James Garner, Harrison Armstrong and Merlin Rohl gives Everton solidity without creativity in isolation. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall is the one who can pick a forward pass, and his form has been consistent across the season even in matches where Everton struggled collectively. Jack Grealish, on loan from Man City and operating in an advanced left position, brings the technical quality to play through Arsenal’s press if given time on the ball, and he and Thierno Barry have formed the attacking spine of what Moyes has built, even if neither has scored against Arsenal before in their careers.

Barry has three Premier League goals this season and leads Everton’s attacking threat from the front. His physical directness creates problems in transition and at set pieces, and Arsenal’s centre-halves will be tested in their ability to hold him without Saliba, the squad’s most assured 50-50 ball winner, available.

Norgaard adds experience to the rotation after recovering from a groin injury and making his Everton debut in the Chelsea loss. His composure and reading of the game from the base of midfield could earn him more than a cameo role if Moyes decides to manage energy across the squad in a week that has already featured domestic competition.

Arsenal vs Everton: Head-to-head record

The overall head-to-head record across 227 competitive meetings tells one story: Arsenal have won 114 times, Everton 65, with 48 draws. The more relevant narrative for Saturday, though, is the recent run. Arsenal are unbeaten in seven consecutive meetings in all competitions, their last defeat arriving at Goodison Park in February 2023 when James Tarkowski’s header won it for Everton 1-0. Tarkowski is now captain on the opposite side, facing the club whose ground witnessed that victory.

Since then, Everton have not come close to repeating that result. Arsenal won 5-1, twice drew 1-1, won 2-1, drew 0-0 in December 2024, and then won back-to-back last season: 1-0 at Everton in December 2025 and 2-0 at the Emirates in March this year. That March result produced a moment of genuine Premier League history when substitute Max Dowman, introduced late, became the youngest goalscorer in the competition’s history with a goal in the 90th minute.

Everton’s record specifically at the Emirates is alarming. They have won just once in their last 31 visits, with five draws and 25 defeats. The last time they took all three points from this ground was April 2021, when a single goal ended a lengthy winless run at the Emirates. Since that result, Everton have drawn and lost in their subsequent visits. Arsenal have also conceded very little in these meetings of late: across the last five Premier League encounters between the sides, Everton have scored just twice.

The four most recent meetings have all finished with fewer than three goals in total, the kind of tight, low-scoring contest that suits a team looking to use the first hour to establish control before the game opens up. That is precisely how Arsenal tend to approach home fixtures against well-organised, defensively minded opponents.

Referee Tony Harrington takes charge for Saturday’s fixture. Harrington is a consistent card count from the middle, and both teams, particularly Everton in a discipline sense, will need to stay controlled if they are to avoid disrupting their own game plans in a pressurised environment.

Arsenal vs Everton: Predictions and betting tips

Odds correct as of Thursday, October 22, 2026, 15:00 BST.