Australia vs Egypt
Key details
2026 FIFA World Cup – Round of 32
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Friday 3 July 2026 – 19:00 BST
Our prediction
Australia 0-1 Egypt
Key stat
Australia scored just twice in the group stage
Top tip
Egypt to win to nil

Australia and Egypt meet in the Round of 32 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup on Friday 3 July at the AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, in an unprecedented knockout tie between two sides who finished second in their respective groups.

The Socceroos finished Group D with four points, while the Pharaohs emerged unbeaten from Group G with five points and a markedly superior goal record, positioning them as favourites according to World Cup betting sites tracking the tournament.

Preview: Australia vs Egypt

Recent form
Australia
L
D
W
L
D
Egypt
W
L
D
W
D

Australia have reached the knockout stages through sheer defensive pragmatism under Tony Popovic, but the numbers paint a concerning picture for anybody expecting them to progress further.

The Socceroos have scored just two goals across three group matches, with the 2-0 victory over Turkey representing the only occasion they looked genuinely threatening in the final third.

A 2-0 defeat to the United States and a goalless draw against Paraguay confirmed the creative limitations of a side registering an average xG of just 0.81 per match according to ESPN data.

Australia do possess defensive solidity, however, having kept two clean sheets in three games through a back-three system that Popovic has refined throughout the tournament.

Outside the World Cup, the Socceroos’ form has been inconsistent, drawing 1-1 with Switzerland and losing 1-0 to Mexico in their two most recent friendlies before the tournament began.

Australia vs Egypt – comparison
Last 5 games
Australia
Egypt
FIFA Ranking
27
29
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
2
1
Goals scored
3
7
Goals conceded
4
5
Clean sheets
2
1

Egypt present a markedly more encouraging picture, having navigated their group without defeat and with a positive goal difference to show for it.

The Pharaohs have scored five goals in three group matches, with contributions from Mostafa Ziko, Mohamed Salah and Emam Ashour demonstrating a varied attacking threat that Australia simply cannot match.

Egypt’s average possession of 56% in the group stage contrasts sharply with Australia’s 38%, suggesting the Pharaohs are likely to enjoy significant territorial dominance on Friday.

The 3-1 victory over New Zealand remains the high point of their campaign, though two 1-1 draws against Belgium and Iran indicate that Hossam Hassan’s side can occasionally lack a cutting edge in the final third.

Including friendlies, Egypt have scored seven and conceded five across their last five matches, keeping just one clean sheet in the 1-0 win over Russia, and William Hill price the Pharaohs at 2.50 to win inside 90 minutes – see our William Hill review for a full breakdown of their football markets.

Australia vs Egypt team news

Australia

Outs and doubts – Australia
Out
Jacob Italiano
Injury – ruled out of the remainder of the World Cup
Out
Mathew Leckie
Injury – ruled out of the remainder of the World Cup

Australia have been dealt two significant blows, with defender Jacob Italiano and veteran forward Mathew Leckie (35 years old, 81 caps) both ruled out of the remainder of the World Cup by Football Australia on 27 June.

Leckie’s absence removes the most experienced attacking option from the squad, but the rest of the group remain available, including 18-year-old Lucas Herrington who has established himself in the back line.

Popovic is expected to retain the three-centre-back shape deployed against Paraguay, with Patrick Beach in goal and a back three of Herrington, Alessandro Circati and Harry Souttar.

Jackson Irvine and Aiden O’Neill should continue in the engine room, with Aziz Behich and Jordan Bos providing width from the wing-back positions and a platform among new bookmakers suggests this shape will not change.

Egypt

Outs and doubts – Egypt
Doubt
Mohamed Salah
Hamstring strain – resumed training on 1 July
Out
Ahmed Fatouh
Hamstring tear – likely to miss the match
Doubt
Mohamed Abdelmonem
Severe ankle bruising
Doubt
Hamdy Fathy
Doubtful for the match
Doubt
Hossam Abdelmaguid
Doubtful for the match

Egypt’s injury list is the dominant storyline heading into this fixture, with several players uncertain in key positions across the pitch.

Salah, the captain and country’s all-time leading scorer with 68 goals in 119 caps, left the field during the draw with Iran having sustained a hamstring strain, but resumed partial training with the squad on 1 July in Spokane according to the Egyptian Football Association.

Full-back Ahmed Fatouh is almost certainly unavailable due to a hamstring tear, while Mohamed Abdelmonem is being readied despite severe ankle bruising sustained during the group stage.

Karim Hafez is expected to deputise for Fatouh at left-back, with Mostafa Shobeir continuing between the posts as he has throughout the tournament.

Predicted lineups: Australia vs Egypt

Australia predicted XI (3-4-2-1): P Beach; L Herrington, A Circati, H Souttar; A Behich, J Irvine, A O’Neill, J Bos; C Volpato, C Metcalfe; N Irankunda.

Predicted XI
Australia
3-4-2-1
N Irankunda
C Volpato
C Metcalfe
J Irvine
A O’Neill
A Behich
J Bos
L Herrington
A Circati
H Souttar
P Beach

Egypt predicted XI (4-2-3-1): M Shobeir; M Hany, Y Ibrahim, R Rabia, K Hafez; M Attia, M Saber; M Ziko, M Salah, E Ashour; O Marmoush.

Predicted XI
Egypt
4-2-3-1
O Marmoush
E Ashour
M Salah
M Ziko
M Attia
M Saber
K Hafez
M Hany
R Rabia
Y Ibrahim
M Shobeir

Head-to-head: Australia vs Egypt

Australia vs Egypt – head-to-head record
Egypt
3-0
Australia
Last meeting: international friendly, 17 November 2010
1 W Australia 0 D 1 W Egypt

The head-to-head record between Australia and Egypt is remarkably thin, with just two meetings in nearly four decades separating these two sides.

The first encounter took place on 19 June 1987 in the President’s Cup, where the teams drew 0-0 before Australia prevailed on penalties to claim the tie.

The second meeting, a friendly international on 17 November 2010, saw Egypt win convincingly 3-0, though that result bears no meaningful relevance to the current squads or tactical approaches of either side.

The two nations have never met at a World Cup, lending this knockout tie a genuinely unprecedented quality that neither set of players will have experienced before.

Our Australia vs Egypt prediction

Top tip
Egypt to win to nil
3.25
Australia have scored just two goals across three World Cup group matches, registering a cumulative xG below 2.5 for the entire tournament. The Socceroos rely primarily on 20-year-old Nestory Irankunda in attack and lack the depth to unlock an organised defence.
Value bet
Egypt to win
2.50
The Pharaohs emerged unbeaten from the group stage with five points and possess a markedly superior attack led by Salah and Marmoush. At 2.50, an Egypt victory offers value given the individual quality gap and Australia’s low offensive output.
Longshot
Correct score 0-1
6.00
The gap in individual quality favours Egypt, but Popovic’s defensive pragmatism and the tension inherent in knockout football point towards a match decided by a single goal in the second half.
Free choice
Omar Marmoush anytime scorer
3.40
The Manchester City forward accumulated an xG of 0.83 in the group stage without converting. His pace and power represent the primary threat against a young Australian defence with limited international experience.
Score prediction
Australia 0-1 Egypt
Egypt hold a significant individual advantage and emerge from the group stage unbeaten with five points. Australia are defensively organised but produce very little going forward. This match is likely to be settled by a moment of individual brilliance from the Egyptian side.
  • Australia have scored just two goals in three matches during the group stage, with an average xG of 0.81 per game
  • Egypt emerged unbeaten from Group G with five points and a positive goal difference
  • Salah has recorded one goal and two assists in the tournament and resumed training on 1 July
  • Australia kept two clean sheets in the group stage (against Turkey and Paraguay), underlining their defensive solidity
  • The two nations have met just twice in 39 years, with one victory apiece